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Red86
207529.5
611215.5
102324.7
Blue26
65815.0
515215.7
57048.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions813202040601001208626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.4
30.932.4
Auto12.0
Teleop15.5
End2.0
red by 13.8
15.70.9
19.118.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End9.2
Second
24.71.4
24.425.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End4.7
red by 16.3
5704
#29
8.40.9
10.910.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Third
6112
#10
15.51.6
14.616.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End7.0
red by 10.4
6581
#34
5.00.9
6.15.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed