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Red59
360320.7
191827.9
88326.2
Blue10
78187.5
52565.7
400412.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622602040801005910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.5
28.028.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
red by 15.9
4004
#18
12.01.9
11.19.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End3.5
Second
20.70.5
19.920.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End4.3
red by 13.2
7818
#31
7.51.9
10.48.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.1
End3.8
Third
8832
#26
6.20.5
5.76.2
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End2.0
red by 0.5
5256
#24
5.71.7
7.86.1
Auto0.8
Teleop0.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed