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Red25
86125.7
323412.3
608117.2
Blue65
171124.5
612113.3
724415.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356203050607080901002565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.21.9
18.616.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.2
blue by 7.3
24.51.2
22.824.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End11.3
Second
3234
#21
12.32.0
14.112.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 2.9
7244
#13
15.21.2
14.315.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Third
8612
#22
5.71.9
9.17.3
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8
blue by 7.6
6121
#23
13.31.2
13.915.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned