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Red29
508617.9
57048.4
52565.7
Blue27
84238.6
724415.2
705613.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38441020305060702927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#12
17.90.6
20.519.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End5.1
red by 2.8
7244
#13
15.21.1
15.614.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Second
5704
#29
8.40.6
10.09.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End2.3
blue by 5.3
7056
#19
13.71.1
14.913.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Third
5256
#24
5.70.6
6.15.4
Auto0.8
Teleop0.5
End4.4
blue by 2.9
8423
#28
8.61.1
9.78.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed