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Red41
515215.7
360320.7
86125.7
Blue19
611215.5
79115.2
65617.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523001020406070804119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.4
20.420.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End4.3
red by 5.2
6112
#10
15.51.3
17.115.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End7.0
Second
15.70.4
18.217.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End9.2
red by 8.4
6561
#32
7.31.3
7.46.2
Auto1.2
Teleop2.9
End3.2
Third
8612
#22
5.70.4
7.36.9
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8
red by 0.4
7911
#33
5.21.3
6.24.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed