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Red68
400412.0
722620.2
357220.2
Blue48
191827.9
612113.3
542411.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49622030407080906848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#16
20.21.7
18.820.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End8.4
blue by 7.7
27.90.7
28.427.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
Second
7226
#15
20.21.7
18.720.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 6.8
6121
#23
13.30.7
15.114.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End2.9
Third
4004
#18
12.01.7
10.211.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End3.5
red by 0.3
5424
#20
11.70.7
12.812.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed