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Red56
567414.5
546215.6
515221.2
Blue45
765814.8
377014.1
550112.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38430102030506070805645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.3
15.016.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End11.6
red by 6.4
14.80.1
15.115.3
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End8.5
Second
5462
#10
15.62.2
12.114.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 1.5
3770
#12
14.10.1
11.811.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End9.2
Third
5674
#20
14.52.2
9.511.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End5.8
red by 2.3
12.20.1
12.913.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned