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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283301020405060703114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#13
15.20.5
13.813.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.8
red by 4.6
4776
#30
10.62.7
13.610.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Second
6150
#29
8.90.5
6.76.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End2.5
red by 2.4
7811
#25
6.52.7
9.87.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Third
7256
#23
4.10.5
6.76.2
Auto2.6
Teleop0.9
End0.6
blue by 0.1
7203
#22
4.22.7
6.84.1
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed