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Red40
485512.6
515221.2
421616.0
Blue28
584316.3
51448.7
72564.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49260204060804028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.2
17.517.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End11.6
red by 4.9
5843
#14
16.30.0
13.813.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End11.2
Second
16.00.3
14.914.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End9.5
red by 7.3
5144
#27
8.70.0
9.29.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End3.0
Third
4855
#18
12.60.3
10.410.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End4.8
red by 8.5
7256
#23
4.10.0
4.64.6
Auto2.6
Teleop0.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsEarned