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Red22
59827.4
546215.6
562313.9
Blue25
765814.8
72034.2
81265.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4129010205060702225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#10
15.61.6
15.814.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 0.8
14.80.4
18.017.6
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End8.5
Second
13.91.5
12.911.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End6.2
red by 8.0
8126
#28
5.90.4
7.57.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.4
Third
5982
#26
7.41.5
8.06.5
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End4.0
red by 3.2
7203
#22
4.20.4
3.63.1
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsMissed