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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363301020405060703024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.4
12.512.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End9.5
red by 1.5
5674
#20
14.50.8
12.111.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End5.8
Second
7197
#24
7.00.4
10.710.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.4
blue by 6.0
5559
#16
13.00.8
9.68.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
7256
#23
4.10.4
10.19.7
Auto2.6
Teleop0.9
End0.6
blue by 3.3
5982
#26
7.40.8
9.48.6
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed