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Red48
515221.2
8519.8
78116.5
Blue6
445314.3
277110.9
51448.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39310206080486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.6
14.815.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End11.6
red by 6.9
4453
#21
14.32.7
9.26.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End7.3
Second
85
#4
19.80.9
12.213.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 8.9
2771
#19
10.92.7
13.010.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Third
7811
#25
6.50.9
8.59.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 2.2
5144
#27
8.72.7
8.25.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed