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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3830010205060705821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#13
15.20.8
14.615.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.8
red by 2.3
12.90.9
10.29.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Second
3770
#12
14.10.8
12.213.0
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End9.2
red by 5.2
6150
#29
8.90.9
8.47.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Third
7203
#22
4.20.8
7.98.7
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.6
blue by 3.7
1076
#31
7.90.9
10.39.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed