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Red44
8519.8
562313.9
49569.5
Blue37
387515.2
555913.0
81265.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4633102040506070804437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#4
19.80.2
20.120.3
Auto6.7
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 4.6
3875
#13
15.20.4
14.214.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Second
13.90.2
12.412.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End6.2
red by 0.9
5559
#16
13.00.4
11.812.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
4956
#15
9.50.3
8.89.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.3
red by 3.6
8126
#28
5.90.4
6.87.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed