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Red58
567523.1
584316.3
277110.9
Blue43
477610.6
51448.7
546215.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52310204060805843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#11
23.10.7
18.919.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End5.9
red by 7.4
5462
#10
15.60.1
14.414.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Second
5843
#14
16.30.7
15.015.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End11.2
red by 5.7
4776
#30
10.60.1
9.89.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Third
2771
#19
10.90.7
12.313.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End1.1
red by 2.2
5144
#27
8.70.1
7.47.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed