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Red44
550112.2
421616.0
61508.9
Blue60
72034.2
432712.9
438129.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384202060804460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.7
14.815.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End9.5
blue by 13.3
29.31.7
24.125.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
12.20.7
12.613.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5
blue by 0.7
12.91.9
12.314.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Third
6150
#29
8.90.7
8.69.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End2.5
red by 4.8
7203
#22
4.21.9
2.74.6
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed