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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492004060801004221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.0
19.119.1
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End6.9
red by 16.7
7209
#24
12.60.4
8.98.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End5.0
Second
7202
#31
12.90.0
11.411.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End8.6
red by 1.9
3773
#36
11.00.4
8.88.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.1
Third
8608
#30
11.40.0
11.611.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 6.3
8300
#37
5.20.4
4.64.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed