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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416702060801004855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.4
21.421.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End12.4
blue by 7.1
36.30.3
32.632.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End14.6
Second
6591
#18
18.60.4
14.214.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End4.2
red by 4.5
3658
#21
14.20.3
12.912.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Third
8297
#39
5.80.4
6.46.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End-0.3
blue by 5.6
5530
#33
11.40.3
13.813.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed91%Hangar oddsEarned