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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300204060801006228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.4
21.823.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End12.4
red by 6.3
5676
#28
22.90.2
23.323.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End10.0
Second
5231
#14
15.51.4
11.112.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End3.8
red by 10.3
8300
#37
5.20.2
4.34.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Third
3773
#36
11.01.4
8.49.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.1
red by 6.8
8374
#40
4.30.2
2.92.7
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsMissed