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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26530204060801001202183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#21
14.20.4
12.712.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 15.1
29.32.4
19.121.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End6.9
Second
4568
#32
4.50.4
7.87.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 21.2
25.72.4
14.917.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End10.4
Third
6556
#38
3.70.4
7.26.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.9
blue by 7.9
66
#23
11.62.4
12.715.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned