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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49602040801006868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.5
End10.7
blue by 2.8
3536
#10
32.5
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
Second
5567
#17
24.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.1
red by 5.6
6591
#18
18.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Third
6561
#15
12.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.1
red by 3.6
5523
#27
8.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned