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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149004060801001201401602864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#21
14.20.3
12.212.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 22.2
36.30.7
32.331.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End14.6
Second
8314
#26
8.60.3
6.77.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 18.7
27.30.7
27.727.0
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.7
Third
7256
#35
7.60.3
4.04.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End-1.4
blue by 4.0
66
#23
11.60.7
15.114.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned