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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4323060804140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.2
26.626.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.4
red by 12.1
7197
#20
16.61.1
8.59.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Second
5523
#27
8.70.2
8.58.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
blue by 2.7
8608
#30
11.41.1
11.512.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Third
8374
#40
4.30.2
2.72.9
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End2.0
blue by 0.9
8300
#37
5.21.1
4.15.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed