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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69534060801001208034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.2
23.224.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End12.4
blue by 3.3
3536
#10
32.51.2
32.131.0
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
Second
25.71.2
17.318.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End10.4
red by 17.0
8314
#26
8.61.2
7.05.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Third
5567
#17
24.21.2
21.923.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.1
red by 17.6
7254
#34
6.71.2
12.511.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsMissed