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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4772204060801001206084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#11
25.10.6
23.524.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End7.3
blue by 9.0
107
#6
34.11.3
30.431.7
Auto9.4
Teleop16.4
End8.3
Second
5260
#29
17.90.6
13.814.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
blue by 9.4
27.31.3
27.028.3
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.7
Third
3773
#36
11.00.6
9.810.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.1
blue by 1.4
6561
#15
12.41.3
7.08.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed62%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned