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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654320801001207463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.0
26.826.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.4
blue by 1.0
29.71.3
18.920.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.5
End10.7
Second
22.40.0
17.417.4
Auto7.1
Teleop3.6
End11.7
red by 8.4
313
#19
14.01.3
10.712.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End3.6
Third
5231
#14
15.50.0
13.713.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End3.8
red by 4.0
5530
#33
11.41.3
13.314.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsEarned