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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57472040801007240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.1
20.221.3
Auto8.5
Teleop10.5
End10.7
blue by 6.6
36.30.3
31.731.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End14.6
Second
22.41.1
17.418.5
Auto7.1
Teleop3.6
End11.7
red by 11.4
3773
#36
11.00.3
10.410.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.1
Third
5260
#29
17.91.1
14.415.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
red by 13.6
8374
#40
4.30.3
2.92.6
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsMissed