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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762020801003548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6591
#18
18.60.2
14.714.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End4.2
blue by 8.7
27.30.7
28.327.6
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.7
Second
7209
#24
12.60.2
8.58.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End5.0
blue by 6.2
7656
#16
18.80.7
15.114.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End7.7
Third
66
#23
11.60.2
14.414.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
red by 4.9
7254
#34
6.70.7
11.310.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned