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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7540020601007843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.8
27.628.4
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.7
red by 7.1
7501
#12
20.20.0
20.120.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End4.6
Second
3656
#11
25.10.8
23.924.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End7.3
red by 6.1
4776
#22
19.00.0
15.715.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.0
End4.0
Third
6591
#18
18.60.8
14.615.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End4.2
red by 12.8
8297
#39
5.80.0
6.56.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed