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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305702040801006048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#29
17.91.6
15.517.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.7
blue by 5.0
5676
#28
22.90.1
23.723.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End10.0
Second
7197
#20
16.61.6
10.712.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 3.7
7202
#31
12.90.1
11.711.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End8.6
Third
8314
#26
8.61.6
5.77.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 2.8
5530
#33
11.40.1
14.814.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned