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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763020801001881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.3
26.725.4
Auto8.1
Teleop5.5
End13.7
blue by 9.0
36.31.7
29.831.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End14.6
Second
8300
#37
5.21.5
3.21.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 19.1
5567
#17
24.21.7
19.020.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End4.1
Third
4568
#32
4.51.3
7.86.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 10.9
5231
#14
15.51.7
7.08.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed65%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned