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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4059020801003066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#28
22.90.7
22.021.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End10.0
blue by 6.8
29.70.9
15.516.4
Auto8.5
Teleop10.5
End10.7
Second
7197
#20
16.60.7
7.06.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 12.7
29.30.9
15.316.1
Auto7.2
Teleop15.2
End6.9
Third
7254
#34
6.70.7
11.010.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.8
End2.1
blue by 18.4
3656
#11
25.11.0
22.223.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed