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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7920040601001201219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#10
32.52.5
28.931.4
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
red by 20.8
7221
#25
11.71.3
12.010.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End4.1
Second
28.72.8
23.326.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.4
red by 17.6
3773
#36
11.01.1
9.98.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End4.1
Third
4237
#13
22.32.5
14.717.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End4.9
red by 14.6
7256
#35
7.61.1
4.13.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed