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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7251204060801001208758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#10
32.50.9
31.332.2
Auto10.9
Teleop12.3
End9.4
blue by 1.5
107
#6
34.10.5
32.432.9
Auto9.4
Teleop16.4
End8.3
Second
22.40.9
20.221.1
Auto7.1
Teleop3.6
End11.7
red by 10.7
7221
#25
11.70.5
12.012.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End4.1
Third
3658
#21
14.20.9
13.714.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End4.3
red by 9.0
8300
#37
5.20.5
6.46.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed