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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53230406080100369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7501
#12
20.20.7
19.819.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End4.6
red by 8.6
66
#23
11.61.1
13.111.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Second
313
#19
14.00.7
13.713.0
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End3.6
red by 7.4
7254
#34
6.71.1
8.87.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.8
End2.1
Third
7202
#31
12.90.7
12.612.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End8.6
red by 8.6
8374
#40
4.31.1
3.92.8
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed