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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274002060803132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#10
13.30.5
11.211.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End4.3
blue by 0.4
5612
#13
13.70.9
15.714.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End2.5
Second
5517
#14
11.20.5
11.111.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End4.9
red by 1.5
5282
#18
9.70.9
11.110.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Third
5235
#23
7.00.5
4.34.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.2
End3.7
blue by 0.8
1504
#29
7.70.9
8.87.9
Auto5.3
Teleop0.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsMissed