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Red48
56976.9
7037.4
65522.8
Blue40
55095.9
560315.6
519318.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32360204060804840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
37.42.0
20.422.4
Auto12.4
Teleop14.6
End10.4
red by 19.1
5193
#20
18.30.3
11.612.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Second
5697
#24
6.91.2
4.05.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End2.8
blue by 8.7
5603
#12
15.60.3
12.512.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
6552
#33
2.82.0
5.97.8
Auto0.5
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 3.1
5509
#28
5.90.3
9.19.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed