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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46290204060804930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.5
21.321.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End6.9
red by 5.9
5193
#20
18.30.1
12.012.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Second
3537
#10
13.30.5
10.511.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End4.3
red by 1.3
4983
#21
11.90.1
8.78.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Third
6071
#26
7.70.5
8.99.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 2.0
5282
#18
9.70.1
8.98.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed