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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19490406080100440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#30
8.21.9
6.24.3
Auto4.9
Teleop0.7
End2.7
blue by 9.9
18.20.6
17.917.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End5.3
Second
6073
#31
5.01.9
9.67.7
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End2.5
blue by 8.6
5612
#13
13.70.6
15.014.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End2.5
Third
6552
#33
2.81.9
5.63.6
Auto0.5
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 4.2
5235
#23
7.00.6
8.98.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed