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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25380102030506070802118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5517
#14
11.20.5
11.911.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End4.9
blue by 7.2
5660
#15
18.41.8
10.89.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End3.9
Second
5150
#30
8.20.5
8.88.3
Auto4.9
Teleop0.7
End2.7
blue by 0.2
7790
#19
8.41.8
10.68.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End4.4
Third
5619
#11
6.70.3
4.84.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Level
5533
#32
6.71.8
12.610.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed