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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122060801004818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.4
14.414.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End6.9
red by 6.7
314
#5
17.40.5
11.410.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
Second
17.60.4
13.013.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End8.3
red by 10.6
5525
#27
6.90.5
8.07.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.3
End3.5
Third
6552
#33
2.80.4
8.89.2
Auto0.5
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 4.1
5697
#24
6.90.3
3.63.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed