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Red37
168424.1
498311.9
55336.7
Blue65
560315.6
366718.2
353713.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434602060801001203765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.3
23.423.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End6.9
red by 6.0
18.20.2
15.816.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End5.3
Second
4983
#21
11.90.3
9.28.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.0
blue by 3.7
5603
#12
15.60.2
15.115.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
5533
#32
6.70.3
7.97.5
Auto3.6
Teleop1.6
End1.5
blue by 6.6
3537
#10
13.30.2
11.611.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned