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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3915010203050607080228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#5
17.41.1
18.417.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
red by 7.7
5282
#18
9.71.2
8.27.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Second
7790
#19
8.41.1
7.56.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End4.4
red by 1.8
5619
#11
6.70.9
5.64.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Third
6073
#31
5.01.1
7.36.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End2.5
red by 2.2
6552
#33
2.81.2
3.01.8
Auto0.5
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed