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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473101020406070805219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
18.118.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End10.4
red by 7.3
5612
#13
13.71.2
14.413.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End2.5
Second
5660
#15
18.40.5
16.517.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End3.9
red by 10.7
6071
#26
7.71.2
9.07.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Third
5525
#27
6.90.5
7.88.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.3
End3.5
red by 1.0
5509
#28
5.91.2
7.66.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed