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Red59
504617.6
89418.6
498311.9
Blue37
52357.0
505315.6
749116.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404510203050607080905937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#6
18.62.0
15.117.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End9.5
red by 1.8
16.80.7
16.615.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Second
17.62.0
14.516.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End8.3
red by 2.0
5053
#25
15.60.7
16.415.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End2.7
Third
4983
#21
11.91.8
8.810.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.0
red by 4.9
5235
#23
7.00.8
8.37.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed