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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53290204060806532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
37.41.6
34.336.0
Auto12.4
Teleop14.6
End10.4
red by 16.4
20.90.6
18.618.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End10.4
Second
7790
#19
8.41.6
6.48.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End4.4
red by 1.5
5697
#24
6.90.4
5.65.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End2.8
Third
1504
#29
7.71.8
5.87.6
Auto5.3
Teleop0.3
End2.1
red by 2.7
6073
#31
5.00.6
6.35.7
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed