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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48371020306070804635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.1
24.023.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End5.7
red by 8.0
16.80.1
15.915.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Second
5612
#13
13.70.1
13.213.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End2.5
red by 2.5
5517
#14
11.20.1
12.512.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End4.9
Third
6102
#17
8.40.1
6.56.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.5
red by 1.7
5533
#32
6.70.1
7.47.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned