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Red44
519318.3
6814.0
31417.4
Blue49
353713.3
498311.9
566018.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604120801004449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#20
18.30.9
19.919.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End4.3
blue by 0.2
5660
#15
18.40.7
18.018.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End3.9
Second
314
#5
17.40.8
18.317.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
red by 4.1
3537
#10
13.30.7
12.212.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End4.3
Third
68
#16
14.00.9
15.514.6
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End5.2
red by 2.1
4983
#21
11.90.7
10.711.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed