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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28300204060801003117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.0
12.312.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 4.9
4983
#21
11.91.2
10.08.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Second
5619
#11
6.70.0
4.54.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
1504
#29
7.71.2
10.08.8
Auto5.3
Teleop0.3
End2.1
Third
5509
#28
5.90.0
9.99.9
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End2.0
blue by 1.1
5235
#23
7.01.2
8.06.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed