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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393202060801004333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.8
13.013.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End5.7
red by 7.5
314
#5
17.40.2
10.810.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.4
Second
5193
#20
18.30.8
10.411.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 10.6
6071
#26
7.70.2
9.08.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Third
6073
#31
5.00.8
12.112.9
Auto1.2
Teleop1.3
End2.5
blue by 1.7
5533
#32
6.70.2
10.810.7
Auto3.6
Teleop1.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed